Implied Pork Production from Market Hog Inventory

Quarterly Hogs & Pigs market hog inventory vs the next six months of commercial pork production · simple OLS by year

Years: —
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Years in the fit & plotted (default 1996–latest)
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All quarters — fit and implied production (current year range & exclusions)

InventoryProduction windowSlopeInterceptR²n Current pointInventory (mil hd)Implied (bil lb)±1 SE (bil lb) Months actualPrior-year actualImplied YoY
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Click a point, a table row, or a year chip to exclude/include it from the fit (e.g. 2020). Excluded years are drawn hollow grey.
YearInventory dateMarket hogs (mil hd)Production window 6-mo production (bil lb)Fitted (bil lb)Residual (mil lb)Residual %In fit